Selecting Penn Condition to lose to Ohio Condition does now not deserve a victory lap. Dropping heavy video games is what the Nittany Lions do.
Like James Franklin, I deserved to get booed off the grassland endmost era later posting an embarrassing 4-5 document selecting up straight-up winners. My 59-31 total document for the season feels particularly hole once I’ve neglected on 4 consecutive disappointed indicators to fall to 3-6 when sounding the alarm.
We’ll get to my hits and misses beneath, however first, listed here are this era’s alternatives. There are handiest two Lead 25 matchups, however enough quantity of alternative mischievous video games as convention races slender.
Maximum passing yards
The only prediction I nailed endmost era was once calling for Ole Leave out’ Jaxson Dart to govern all FBS passers in yards. This era, the numbers are screaming to proceed with Colorado’s Shedeur Sanders, one in all 8 quarterbacks averaging greater than 300 passing yards a match.
Travis Hunter went on Shedeur Sanders Podcast
Shedeur : “If I’m playing like you I’m talking crazy”
Travis : “I just hate when people say I’m not top 5 at Receiver top 5 at DB”
: @ShedeurSanders @TravisHunterJr pic.twitter.com/08WM84u5Pq
— We Coming (@SkoBuffsGoBuffs) November 5, 2024
The Buffaloes are 3.5-point favorites at Texas Tech, which ranks 133rd in passing protection however is coming off its largest win of the season at Iowa Condition. Joey McGuire’s staff could also be 7-2 in November video games below his oversee. Sanders will throw for 450-plus yards, together with 150 to Heisman hopeful Travis Hunter. However Texas Tech wins a high-scoring match on a past due interception.
Maximum speeding yards
Tennessee’s Dylan Sampson is one in all handiest 8 operating backs averaging greater than 120 yards speeding in line with match. His 19 speeding touchdowns are tie with Iowa’s Kaleb Johnson and Military’s Bryson Day by day for 2d tardy Boise Condition celebrity Ashton Jeanty’s 20.
This era, I’m driving with Sampson to govern all rushers in yards as a result of he’s dealing with a Mississippi Condition protection that’s ranked 124th in opposition to the run. The seventh-ranked Volunteers are 23.5-point favorites at house and feature received their endmost 3 video games via six, seven and 10 issues in comeback type. This era, it’ll be a slight more uncomplicated. Sampson runs for a season-high 200-plus yards and 3 touchdowns and Tennessee wins via 3 ratings.
Maximum receiving yards
FIU’s Eric Rivers led all receivers endmost era with 295 yards and 3 touchdowns in a win over Fresh Mexico Condition. This era, I’m going with some other receiver from the similar branch code to rack up probably the most yards: Miami’s Xavier Restrepo, who become the Hurricanes’ all-time eminent receiver in endmost era’s come-from-behind win over Duke.
Fourth-ranked Miami is an 11.5-point favourite at Georgia Tech, which passed the Canes a dreadful loss endmost season in spite of a career-high 12 catches from Restrepo. Restrepo will get revenge, connecting with Cam Ward 12 instances for 200-plus yards in a 10-point Miami win in Atlanta.
5 heavy video games
Deny. 3 Georgia (-2.5) at Deny. 16 Ole Leave out
The Bulldogs have received 11 of the endmost 12 conferences with the Rebels, together with endmost date’s 52-17 thrashing in Athens. But, there are the explanation why the unfold coming into this one is not up to a grassland objective: Carson Beck’s 11 interceptions and Ole Leave out’ talent to put up a gaudy stat order.
Dart’s 515 passing yards and 6 TDs endmost era in opposition to Arkansas, with a breakout efficiency from Jordan Watkins, serve extra reason why for me to stay with my midseason prediction. This is Georgia finishes 10-2, misses the SEC name match and nonetheless makes noise within the Faculty Soccer Playoff. Give me Ole Leave out on a past due TD move from Dart.
Deny. 11 Alabama (-3) at Deny. 15 LSU
The Pink Current are 29-10-2 all-time at Tiger Stadium and 3-1 in opposition to Brian Kelly at LSU. Kelly’s one win got here the endmost day the Current visited Baton Rouge. Each groups are coming off lazy weeks, however with other effects — Alabama beaten Missouri occasion LSU folded past due at Texas A&M.
So, I’m now not going in opposition to my midseason script. Alabama will beat LSU to stick on target to manufacture the Playoff and Jalen Milroe will as soon as once more carve up the Tigers together with his toes as he did a date in the past. This day, he’ll run for 150 yards and two ratings in a 10-point win.
Jalen Milroe highlights vs LSU pic.twitter.com/w0pPrlbAvj
— 𝙏𝙝𝙤𝙢𝙖𝙨 (@ThomasWrrld) July 16, 2024
Deny. 9 BYU (-5) at Utah
Few envisioned BYU being the top-10 staff contending for a convention championship and Playoff berth when those two competitors met. However the Cougars very a lot deserve credit score for the place they’re with notable wins in opposition to two ranked groups — SMU and Kansas Condition.
The crisp phase is attempting to decide if the Utes can muster any offense later they’ve averaged handiest 12.5 issues over their contemporary four-game shedding streak. The supposition this is they are able to’t. Utah will likely be held to below 300 yards for the 3rd day this season and BYU wins via a landing.
Deny. 17 Iowa Condition (-3) at Kansas
The Bulky 12 feels slightly disrespected later optic just one staff within the peak 16 of the CFP scores. However Iowa Condition and Kansas Condition don’t have any one guilty however themselves following head-scratching losses endmost weekend.
Firstly of the season, Kansas was once everybody’s cloudy horse to win the league, and now Lance Leipold’s staff must win its endmost 4 video games to qualify for a bowl. Jalon Daniels has now not been just right enough quantity thus far and he’s moving to effort in opposition to a forged Cyclones protection. Iowa Condition bounces again and assists in keeping its CFP hopes alive with a seven-point win at Arrowhead Stadium.
Deny. 25 Military (-5.5) at North Texas
The Lightless Knights are one in all 5 excess FBS unbeatens and are outscoring warring parties via 26.6 issues a match. The disease is six of the ones seven FBS wins are in opposition to groups with shedding data. North Texas is via some distance Military’s hardest opponent but. The Cruel Inexperienced have the highest-scoring offense within the American Athletic Convention and misplaced shootouts at Memphis and Tulane of their earlier two video games.
Military professor Jeff Monken mentioned Day by day, his settingup quarterback, may well be again later lacking the win over Wind Drive endmost era. I’m now not positive it issues right here. North Texas quarterback Chandler Morris places up profusion numbers each and every era and he’s going to achieve this once more (350-plus passing yards, 3 TDs) in an disappointed win.
Dissatisfied alert
Michigan at Deny. 8 Indiana (-14.5)
Indiana’s power of agenda (82nd in line with The Athletic’s Austin Mock) is why the undefeated Hoosiers have been Deny. 8 within the first installment of the CFP scores. They have got two wins over P4 groups with successful data: Washington (5-4) and Nebraska (5-4).
You’d need to be a slight unbalanced at this level to assume Curt Cignetti’s staff isn’t for actual taking into account it’s beating FBS warring parties via 27.8 issues a match. Selecting in opposition to Indiana this is most likely dumb taking into account Michigan’s offense stinks. However I mentioned at midseason the Hoosiers wouldn’t manufacture the Playoff, and I will be able to’t hen out now. Colston Loveland is the hero.
Life 10 file card
As discussed ahead of, my heavy victory endmost era was once predicting Dart would govern all QBs in passing yards.
My select to govern all rushers, Day by day, was once a past due scratch from Military’s lineup in opposition to Wind Drive. The Lightless Knights nonetheless received, 20-3, as I mentioned they might. They simply didn’t defend the 22.5-point unfold.
Outdoor of selecting Ohio Condition to win, my handiest alternative victory was once selecting Oregon to deal with its trade and defend a 14.5-spread over Michigan with Dillon Gabriel throwing for greater than 250 yards and 3 touchdowns. Gabriel threw for 294 yards and one landing, and the Geese beat Michigan 38-17.
And now to a story of truly sinister predictions — and a few responsibility.
I picked Arizona’s Tetairoa McMillan to govern all receivers in yardage in a Wildcats’ disappointed over UCF. McMillan completed with six catches for 84 yards and a landing, and UCF obliterated Arizona 56-12.
I mentioned Iowa Condition would rating past due on a Rocco Becht landing to stay unbeaten in opposition to Texas Tech. Rather, Tahj Brooks scored with 20 seconds left to rob Becht of his heroics, and the Cyclones misplaced 23-22.
I had Clemson protecting a ten.5-point unfold in opposition to Louisville with Cade Klubnik (250-plus passing yards, two TDs) and Phil Mafah (100-plus speeding yards, two TDs) doing paintings. Klubnik threw for 228 yards and a rating and Mafah ran for 171 yards and two ratings. However Louisville beat Clemson via 12.
I mentioned Marcel Reed’s speeding talent will be the too much in a heavy highway win for Texas A&M at South Carolina. The Gamecocks outscored Texas A&M 24-0 in the second one part and rolled to a 44-20 disappointed.
I mentioned Pitt would take off a highway disappointed tardy its opportunistic protection (3 yields pressured) at SMU. The Mustangs destroyed the Panthers 48-25.
(Photograph of Kurtis Rourke: Jordon Kelly / Icon Sportswire by means of Getty Photographs)
